Alabama vs Vanderbilt Prediction & Projected Score | Nov 13, 2026

Model projections are estimates. Forecast timestamp 10/12/2026, 12:27:21 PM CDT · feature-data cutoff 10/12/2026, 12:27:21 PM CDT. Verified stored season-to-date statistics; descriptive comparisons are separate from the original scoring-model feature window. Comparison snapshot 10/13/2026, 12:19:53 PM CDT.

Official betting selection

Team statistics & league rankings

Season-to-date comparison · ranks use covered teams within College Football · #1 is best for each metric.

Statistical advantages

Alabama has the higher observed scoring average: Alabama scores 44.2 points per game and Vanderbilt scores 24.0, a 20.2-point difference. These are unadjusted season averages, not an estimate of this game's winning margin.

Alabama allows 20.7 points per game, compared with 29.5 for Vanderbilt. Alabama has the stronger defensive scoring figure by 8.8 points per game. Opponent quality and game situations can affect this comparison; a better raw rank is not proof of a better adjusted defense.

Alabama's offense produces 452.5 yards per game; Vanderbilt's defense has conceded 353.5. The 99.0-yard difference compares two observed averages rather than predicting a yardage total. Alabama averages 7.00 yards per play, which puts it #14 among 138 covered teams.

Key matchup factors

Vanderbilt's offense produces 348.5 yards per game; Alabama's defense has conceded 336.3. The 12.2-yard difference compares two observed averages rather than predicting a yardage total. Vanderbilt averages 5.36 yards per play, which puts it #110 among 138 covered teams.

Turnover differential / game is another measurable difference: Alabama records 1.17, while Vanderbilt records -0.50. Higher is better for this metric. Compare the sample counts in the table before treating a difference as stable.

Third-down conversion is another measurable difference: Alabama records 48.6%, while Vanderbilt records 37.6%. Higher is better for this metric. Compare the sample counts in the table before treating a difference as stable.

The stored production forecast is Alabama 29.7, Vanderbilt 29.2. Alabama is projected to win by 0.5 points. SE v3.0 uses recent team and opponent profiles rather than just the full-season averages shown here. The college football model includes home/away context; an independently attributable home-field point adjustment is not exposed for this game, so none is claimed.

Saved sportsbook observations

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Observed Not verified. Saved market observations can differ from the original locked betting line.

Final model assessment

Alabama is the projected winner in the original stored scoring forecast, with a 0.5-point margin and 58.8 combined points. The comparisons above describe the scoring, defensive and efficiency context for this matchup. The official selection, when published, remains the specific wager in the tracker.

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Game previews · Spreadsheet entry · Tracked betting record · Alabama statistics · Vanderbilt statistics · SEC previews

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