OFFICIAL FORWARD RECORD 1 W — 0 L — 0 P100.0% · 29 pendingEvery published pick →
SOUTH ARKDAILY PICKSFIVE SPORTS · THROUGH THE NUMBERS

South Ark Daily Picks / Model Performance & Prediction History

Model Performance & Prediction History

Measured chronological backtests and an immutable forward prediction ledger, kept separate from betting results.

CFB counts official published selections. Professional rows count first-published winner forecasts, not betting results. Units and ROI require recorded prices and stakes.

Sport / record typeW–L–PPendingWin %Units / ROI
College Football · official1–0–029100.0%Unavailable
NFL · research winners0–0–029UnavailableUnavailable
NBA · research winners0–0–014UnavailableUnavailable
NHL · research winners0–0–098UnavailableUnavailable
MLB · research winners0–0–00UnavailableUnavailable

Recent Results

WIN

New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers

Under 46.5

Locked record →

Research backtests

SportHistoryLatest finalTest season / gamesScore MAEBrierLog loss
NFL9192026-10-052026 / 647.70.2260.642
NBA13262026-06-132025 / 12289.70.2180.626
NHL14492026-10-072026 / 551.50.2400.673
MLB72892025-09-282025 / 24252.50.2460.686

Score MAE is mean absolute error per team; lower is better. Brier and log loss evaluate home-win probability on decisive games. Each test prediction uses only earlier calendar dates; coefficients refit chronologically. Season thresholds are fixed in advance and not optimized on reported results.

Historical ingestion times are unavailable: calendar-date exclusion is a proxy, not evidence of point-in-time injury or roster coverage. The preserved NBA 2013–2015 and MLB 2023–2025 archives are historical studies. Once connected, the NBA model trains separately on API-SPORTS results; archive rows are retained. None establishes profitable betting performance.

Probability calibration

NFL

Probability binSampleMean estimateObserved home wins
0.0%–20.0%0UnavailableUnavailable
20.0%–40.0%931.7%33.3%
40.0%–60.0%2449.6%45.8%
60.0%–80.0%3168.9%71.0%
80.0%–100.0%0UnavailableUnavailable

NBA

Probability binSampleMean estimateObserved home wins
0.0%–20.0%917.5%44.4%
20.0%–40.0%23532.0%27.7%
40.0%–60.0%50450.3%52.6%
60.0%–80.0%38368.5%71.3%
80.0%–100.0%5184.0%80.4%

NHL

Probability binSampleMean estimateObserved home wins
0.0%–20.0%0UnavailableUnavailable
20.0%–40.0%237.0%50.0%
40.0%–60.0%5150.9%54.9%
60.0%–80.0%262.6%100.0%
80.0%–100.0%0UnavailableUnavailable

MLB

Probability binSampleMean estimateObserved home wins
0.0%–20.0%0UnavailableUnavailable
20.0%–40.0%339.0%66.7%
40.0%–60.0%241152.5%54.2%
60.0%–80.0%1161.0%72.7%
80.0%–100.0%0UnavailableUnavailable

Forward prediction ledger

0 distinct graded professional games; 141 immutable forecast revisions. Revising a pregame estimate creates a new record rather than changing the original.

PublishedSport / gameOriginal scoreTeam win probabilityResultModel
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Sacramento Kings at LA Clippers96.6–106.2LA Clippers 74.8%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers94.3–99.3Portland Trail Blazers 64.4%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets93.8–108.4Houston Rockets 82.0%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans108.5–104.8New Orleans Pelicans 42.3%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies114.0–112.0Memphis Grizzlies 46.6%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors98.5–111.2Toronto Raptors 79.8%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets102.3–93.1Brooklyn Nets 28.3%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards107.9–105.4Washington Wizards 45.4%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic91.1–99.2Orlando Magic 72.2%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers91.6–99.0Los Angeles Lakers 71.0%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat105.0–106.1Miami Heat 55.2%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs92.8–95.2San Antonio Spurs 58.3%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks86.3–97.9New York Knicks 77.9%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDTNBA Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons91.1–91.6Detroit Pistons 53.7%PendingSADP-NBA-context-ridge-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators2.9–3.1Ottawa Senators 52.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres2.9–3.2Buffalo Sabres 55.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights2.9–3.0Vegas Golden Knights 52.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks3.4–3.0Vancouver Canucks 43.4%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken3.1–3.2Seattle Kraken 51.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers3.4–3.3Edmonton Oilers 49.2%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars2.8–3.0Dallas Stars 53.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues3.0–3.4St. Louis Blues 56.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets3.1–3.3Columbus Blue Jackets 53.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals2.9–3.3Washington Capitals 57.2%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders2.9–3.0New York Islanders 50.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils3.3–3.0New Jersey Devils 45.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens3.3–3.4Montréal Canadiens 51.9%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth2.8–3.1Utah Mammoth 55.0%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs3.4–3.4Toronto Maple Leafs 49.4%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers3.2–2.8Philadelphia Flyers 45.0%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers2.7–3.1New York Rangers 55.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames3.4–2.9Calgary Flames 42.5%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild2.8–3.2Minnesota Wild 56.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Pittsburgh Penguins at Vegas Golden Knights2.8–3.1Vegas Golden Knights 55.4%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth3.2–3.5Utah Mammoth 54.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings2.9–2.9Los Angeles Kings 49.5%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators3.2–3.3Nashville Predators 50.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks3.2–3.0Chicago Blackhawks 46.1%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets3.2–2.9Columbus Blue Jackets 44.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers3.0–2.7Philadelphia Flyers 45.2%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings3.3–3.3Detroit Red Wings 49.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens3.2–3.3Montréal Canadiens 51.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs3.2–3.2Toronto Maple Leafs 49.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers3.0–3.2Florida Panthers 53.2%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning3.0–3.3Tampa Bay Lightning 54.9%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets3.2–2.8Winnipeg Jets 43.4%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals3.0–3.3Washington Capitals 54.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks2.8–2.8Anaheim Ducks 49.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche2.9–3.1Colorado Avalanche 53.5%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights2.9–3.5Vegas Golden Knights 59.0%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers3.4–3.4Edmonton Oilers 49.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild3.1–3.2Minnesota Wild 51.4%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators3.2–3.5Nashville Predators 54.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks3.2–3.1Chicago Blackhawks 49.5%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils3.3–2.8New Jersey Devils 42.4%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers3.1–3.4Florida Panthers 54.0%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning2.9–3.1Tampa Bay Lightning 54.1%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings2.9–3.0Detroit Red Wings 51.1%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators2.8–3.1Ottawa Senators 55.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs3.3–3.3Toronto Maple Leafs 49.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche3.0–3.1Colorado Avalanche 51.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals2.9–3.4Washington Capitals 56.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks3.1–3.1San Jose Sharks 49.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings3.3–3.4Los Angeles Kings 50.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks3.0–3.3Anaheim Ducks 54.9%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Mammoth3.0–3.5Utah Mammoth 58.1%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators3.1–3.2Nashville Predators 51.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars3.1–3.1Dallas Stars 50.0%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets3.2–2.9Winnipeg Jets 45.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks3.1–3.0Chicago Blackhawks 47.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders3.2–3.3New York Islanders 51.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators3.0–3.1Ottawa Senators 51.1%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers2.8–2.9New York Rangers 52.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers3.0–3.0Philadelphia Flyers 49.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes3.0–3.3Carolina Hurricanes 53.9%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens3.2–3.3Montréal Canadiens 51.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets3.1–3.1Columbus Blue Jackets 49.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings3.2–3.1Detroit Red Wings 49.5%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild2.9–3.1Minnesota Wild 52.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils3.1–2.9New Jersey Devils 45.5%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres3.2–3.2Buffalo Sabres 50.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers3.0–2.7Philadelphia Flyers 43.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Vancouver Canucks at New York Rangers3.0–3.4New York Rangers 56.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Seattle Kraken at Washington Capitals3.1–3.4Washington Capitals 54.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights2.8–3.3Vegas Golden Knights 57.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames3.2–3.0Calgary Flames 47.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders3.0–2.8New York Islanders 47.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche3.0–3.4Colorado Avalanche 56.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Columbus Blue Jackets at St. Louis Blues3.0–3.3St. Louis Blues 55.0%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks3.3–2.8Chicago Blackhawks 42.2%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins2.9–2.9Pittsburgh Penguins 50.5%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators2.9–3.1Ottawa Senators 54.0%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Detroit Red Wings at Montréal Canadiens3.2–3.3Montréal Canadiens 52.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Utah Mammoth at Buffalo Sabres3.2–3.2Buffalo Sabres 49.3%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers3.0–3.0Florida Panthers 49.5%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks3.5–3.5San Jose Sharks 50.6%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Vancouver Canucks at New Jersey Devils3.3–3.3New Jersey Devils 50.7%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins2.6–3.0Boston Bruins 55.9%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets3.0–3.0Winnipeg Jets 48.8%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0
10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDTNHL Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets2.9–3.0Columbus Blue Jackets 52.5%PendingSADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0

Betting record, win percentage, ROI, units and closing-line value: unavailable until real priced picks are published and settled. No artificial betting record is inferred from score projections.

Preserved CFB original-line pick record and validation →