Original game forecasts, recent team scoring statistics and clearly disclosed data coverage.
NFL · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY22.1 — 27.8
Dallas Cowboys win 64.7% · fair Dallas Cowboys moneyline -183 · fair Tampa Bay Buccaneers moneyline +209 · fair Dallas Cowboys spread -5.6 · total 49.9
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Dallas Cowboys ahead by 5.6 with a game total of 49.9. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 4 days for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 4 for Dallas Cowboys. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Our prediction vs sportsbook odds
Our projected score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22.1 · Dallas Cowboys 27.8
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys win 64.7% | Dallas Cowboys (-470)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+360) | -17.8 percentage points vs Dallas Cowboys break-even |
|---|
| Spread | Dallas Cowboys -5.6 | Dallas Cowboys -8.5 (-115)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 (-105) | -2.9 points home-side edge; favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|
| Total | 49.9 | Over 47.5 (-115)
Under 47.5 (-105) | +2.4 points (model − market total) |
|---|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:03:52 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Compare 2 more sportsbooks
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys win 64.7% | Dallas Cowboys (-460)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+360) | -17.5 percentage points vs Dallas Cowboys break-even |
|---|
| Spread | Dallas Cowboys -5.6 | Dallas Cowboys -8.5 (-105)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 (-115) | -2.9 points home-side edge; favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|
| Total | 49.9 | Over 48.5 (-105)
Under 48.5 (-115) | +1.4 points (model − market total) |
|---|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:39 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys win 64.7% | Dallas Cowboys (-475)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+375) | -17.9 percentage points vs Dallas Cowboys break-even |
|---|
| Spread | Dallas Cowboys -5.6 | Dallas Cowboys -8.5 (-108)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 (-110) | -2.9 points home-side edge; favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|
| Total | 49.9 | Over 47.5 (-135)
Under 47.5 (+105) | +2.4 points (model − market total) |
|---|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:25 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
NFL · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY17.1 — 27.1
Jacksonville Jaguars win 77.0% · fair Jacksonville Jaguars moneyline -335 · fair Philadelphia Eagles moneyline +365 · fair Jacksonville Jaguars spread -9.9 · total 44.2
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Jacksonville Jaguars ahead by 9.9 with a game total of 44.2. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Philadelphia Eagles and 7 for Jacksonville Jaguars. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY24.1 — 21.4
Green Bay Packers win 36.8% · fair Green Bay Packers moneyline +171 · fair Chicago Bears moneyline -152 · fair Green Bay Packers spread 2.7 · total 45.4
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Chicago Bears ahead by 2.7 with a game total of 45.4. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Chicago Bears and 7 for Green Bay Packers. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY22.7 — 20.7
Miami Dolphins win 39.3% · fair Miami Dolphins moneyline +154 · fair Cincinnati Bengals moneyline -139 · fair Miami Dolphins spread 1.9 · total 43.4
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Cincinnati Bengals ahead by 1.9 with a game total of 43.4. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Cincinnati Bengals and 7 for Miami Dolphins. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY16.7 — 24.2
New England Patriots win 70.5% · fair New England Patriots moneyline -239 · fair Las Vegas Raiders moneyline +282 · fair New England Patriots spread -7.5 · total 40.9
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects New England Patriots ahead by 7.5 with a game total of 40.9. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Las Vegas Raiders and 7 for New England Patriots. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY19.2 — 20.5
New Orleans Saints win 50.2% · fair New Orleans Saints moneyline -101 · fair Minnesota Vikings moneyline +121 · fair New Orleans Saints spread -1.2 · total 39.7
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects New Orleans Saints ahead by 1.2 with a game total of 39.7. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Minnesota Vikings and 6 for New Orleans Saints. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY20.8 — 18.0
New York Jets win 36.7% · fair New York Jets moneyline +173 · fair Cleveland Browns moneyline -153 · fair New York Jets spread 2.9 · total 38.8
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Cleveland Browns ahead by 2.9 with a game total of 38.8. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 10 days for Cleveland Browns and 7 for New York Jets. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY20.8 — 23.8
Pittsburgh Steelers win 57.8% · fair Pittsburgh Steelers moneyline -137 · fair Indianapolis Colts moneyline +152 · fair Pittsburgh Steelers spread -3.0 · total 44.6
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Pittsburgh Steelers ahead by 3.0 with a game total of 44.6. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Indianapolis Colts and 10 for Pittsburgh Steelers. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY23.1 — 19.9
Tennessee Titans win 35.0% · fair Tennessee Titans moneyline +186 · fair Houston Texans moneyline -163 · fair Tennessee Titans spread 3.2 · total 43.1
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Houston Texans ahead by 3.2 with a game total of 43.1. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Houston Texans and 7 for Tennessee Titans. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY22.9 — 22.0
Washington Commanders win 41.8% · fair Washington Commanders moneyline +139 · fair New York Giants moneyline -120 · fair Washington Commanders spread 0.9 · total 44.9
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects New York Giants ahead by 0.9 with a game total of 44.9. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for New York Giants and 7 for Washington Commanders. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 3:05:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY20.2 — 19.3
Los Angeles Chargers win 41.8% · fair Los Angeles Chargers moneyline +139 · fair Denver Broncos moneyline -120 · fair Los Angeles Chargers spread 0.9 · total 39.4
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Denver Broncos ahead by 0.9 with a game total of 39.4. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Denver Broncos and 7 for Los Angeles Chargers. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY27.0 — 24.0
Arizona Cardinals win 35.7% · fair Arizona Cardinals moneyline +180 · fair Detroit Lions moneyline -158 · fair Arizona Cardinals spread 3.0 · total 51.0
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Detroit Lions ahead by 3.0 with a game total of 51.0. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Detroit Lions and 7 for Arizona Cardinals. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY21.6 — 26.0
Seattle Seahawks win 61.7% · fair Seattle Seahawks moneyline -161 · fair San Francisco 49ers moneyline +176 · fair Seattle Seahawks spread -4.3 · total 47.6
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Seattle Seahawks ahead by 4.3 with a game total of 47.6. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for San Francisco 49ers and 7 for Seattle Seahawks. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY23.8 — 23.5
Atlanta Falcons win 44.2% · fair Atlanta Falcons moneyline +126 · fair Baltimore Ravens moneyline -109 · fair Atlanta Falcons spread 0.3 · total 47.3
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Baltimore Ravens ahead by 0.3 with a game total of 47.3. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Baltimore Ravens and 6 for Atlanta Falcons. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY25.9 — 27.4
LA win 51.0% · fair LA moneyline -104 · fair Buffalo Bills moneyline +126 · fair LA spread -1.5 · total 53.3
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects LA ahead by 1.5 with a game total of 53.3. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 8 days for Buffalo Bills and 8 for LA. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/15/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY24.5 — 21.0
Denver Broncos win 33.8% · fair Denver Broncos moneyline +196 · fair Seattle Seahawks moneyline -167 · fair Denver Broncos spread 3.5 · total 45.5
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Seattle Seahawks ahead by 3.5 with a game total of 45.5. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 4 days for Seattle Seahawks and 4 for Denver Broncos. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY20.9 — 26.4
Jacksonville Jaguars win 64.3% · fair Jacksonville Jaguars moneyline -180 · fair Houston Texans moneyline +205 · fair Jacksonville Jaguars spread -5.5 · total 47.3
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Jacksonville Jaguars ahead by 5.5 with a game total of 47.3. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Houston Texans and 7 for Jacksonville Jaguars. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY23.6 — 22.9
Atlanta Falcons win 42.7% · fair Atlanta Falcons moneyline +134 · fair Chicago Bears moneyline -117 · fair Atlanta Falcons spread 0.7 · total 46.5
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Chicago Bears ahead by 0.7 with a game total of 46.5. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Chicago Bears and 7 for Atlanta Falcons. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY22.9 — 20.2
Cleveland Browns win 36.8% · fair Cleveland Browns moneyline +171 · fair Baltimore Ravens moneyline -152 · fair Cleveland Browns spread 2.7 · total 43.2
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Baltimore Ravens ahead by 2.7 with a game total of 43.2. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Baltimore Ravens and 7 for Cleveland Browns. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY20.0 — 24.8
Indianapolis Colts win 62.8% · fair Indianapolis Colts moneyline -169 · fair Tennessee Titans moneyline +184 · fair Indianapolis Colts spread -4.8 · total 44.8
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Indianapolis Colts ahead by 4.8 with a game total of 44.8. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Tennessee Titans and 7 for Indianapolis Colts. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY14.9 — 25.7
New England Patriots win 78.3% · fair New England Patriots moneyline -362 · fair New York Jets moneyline +413 · fair New England Patriots spread -10.8 · total 40.6
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects New England Patriots ahead by 10.8 with a game total of 40.6. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for New York Jets and 7 for New England Patriots. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY21.2 — 23.1
New York Giants win 52.5% · fair New York Giants moneyline -111 · fair New Orleans Saints moneyline +133 · fair New York Giants spread -1.9 · total 44.3
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects New York Giants ahead by 1.9 with a game total of 44.3. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for New Orleans Saints and 7 for New York Giants. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY21.6 — 21.0
Philadelphia Eagles win 43.3% · fair Philadelphia Eagles moneyline +131 · fair Carolina Panthers moneyline -117 · fair Philadelphia Eagles spread 0.6 · total 42.6
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Carolina Panthers ahead by 0.6 with a game total of 42.6. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 14 days for Carolina Panthers and 7 for Philadelphia Eagles. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY19.5 — 22.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win 56.2% · fair Tampa Bay Buccaneers moneyline -128 · fair Pittsburgh Steelers moneyline +145 · fair Tampa Bay Buccaneers spread -2.5 · total 41.5
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Tampa Bay Buccaneers ahead by 2.5 with a game total of 41.5. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Pittsburgh Steelers and 10 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 3:05:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY20.7 — 30.9
LA win 77.3% · fair LA moneyline -341 · fair Arizona Cardinals moneyline +380 · fair LA spread -10.2 · total 51.5
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects LA ahead by 10.2 with a game total of 51.5. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Arizona Cardinals and 6 for LA. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY15.0 — 22.4
Kansas City Chiefs win 70.2% · fair Kansas City Chiefs moneyline -235 · fair Los Angeles Chargers moneyline +277 · fair Kansas City Chiefs spread -7.4 · total 37.4
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Kansas City Chiefs ahead by 7.4 with a game total of 37.4. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 7 days for Los Angeles Chargers and 14 for Kansas City Chiefs. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY26.0 — 21.2
Las Vegas Raiders win 30.0% · fair Las Vegas Raiders moneyline +233 · fair Buffalo Bills moneyline -202 · fair Las Vegas Raiders spread 4.8 · total 47.1
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Buffalo Bills ahead by 4.8 with a game total of 47.1. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 6 days for Buffalo Bills and 7 for Las Vegas Raiders. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/18/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY25.2 — 23.9
Green Bay Packers win 41.0% · fair Green Bay Packers moneyline +144 · fair Dallas Cowboys moneyline -127 · fair Green Bay Packers spread 1.3 · total 49.2
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects Dallas Cowboys ahead by 1.3 with a game total of 49.2. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 10 days for Dallas Cowboys and 7 for Green Bay Packers. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →NFL · 10/19/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
MODEL PROJECTION ONLY18.8 — 28.0
San Francisco 49ers win 75.7% · fair San Francisco 49ers moneyline -311 · fair Washington Commanders moneyline +348 · fair San Francisco 49ers spread -9.3 · total 46.8
Why the Model Likes It
The model projects San Francisco 49ers ahead by 9.3 with a game total of 46.8. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 8 days for Washington Commanders and 8 for San Francisco 49ers. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchupNo matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →
Matchup analysis →Ranked by recent scoring differential across the last 12 recorded games per team. This is a descriptive ranking, not an opponent-adjusted power rating.
nflverse team-game records. EPA is expected points added; totals and per-attempt averages are descriptive. Success rate, red-zone efficiency and neutral-situation pace are unavailable in this integration.
Chronological test season 2026 · 64 games · score MAE 7.7 · Brier 0.2.
Research baseline; missing advanced statistics remain unavailable. No measured betting advantage established.