South Ark Daily Picks / South Ark Daily Picks
Free sports predictions, original statistical research and a transparent record across five sports.
SOUTH ARK · INDEPENDENT SPORTS ANALYTICS
Explore college football and NFL forecasts, professional player projections and honest model research. Missing data stays visible. Every published prediction keeps its original timestamp.
See odds & predictions ↓ All sportsbook lines →2026-10-08 · CENTRAL TIME
Original published selections for today. New selections require measured model validation and a verified price; games alone do not force a pick.
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED PICK · SE v2.0
South Florida Bulls +7
Expected 65.2 plays/team. Projection 24.2–23.7; 7.5 points from the checked line. Weather adjustment 0.0 points. Injury adjustments only use sourced, confirmed absences; incomplete coverage remains flagged.
Published 10/7/2026, 6:19:48 PM CDT · pending
Original analysis →COLLEGE-FOOTBALL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Model score Missouri State 22.7 · Western Kentucky 31.0
Western Kentucky win 37.1% · Western Kentucky spread -8.3 · total 53.7
The model projects Western Kentucky ahead by 8.3 with a game total of 53.7. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Model Lean · research only · confidence not calibrated
Full matchup →COLLEGE-FOOTBALL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Model score Sam Houston 19.0 · Liberty 38.6
Liberty win 63.8% · Liberty spread -19.6 · total 57.7
The model projects Liberty ahead by 19.6 with a game total of 57.7. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Model Lean · research only · confidence not calibrated
Full matchup →NHL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Model score Utah Mammoth 3.0 · Boston Bruins 3.0
Boston Bruins win 50.3% · Boston Bruins spread -0.0 · total 6.0
The model projects Boston Bruins ahead by 0.0 with a game total of 6.0. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 2 days for Utah Mammoth and 3 for Boston Bruins. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Model Lean · research only · confidence not calibrated
Full matchup →Report computed 10/8/2026, 11:32:53 AM CDT. Saved execution & data freshness → · How the Model Works →
ACTUAL SPORTSBOOK PRICES · ORIGINAL MODEL ESTIMATES
Moneylines, spreads and totals beside our independent forecasts. 14 upcoming games with cached game prices · last completed odds batch 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT. Free coverage is selective; prices are snapshots.
College Football · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Our projected score: Sam Houston 19.0 · Liberty 38.6
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liberty win 63.8% | Liberty (-550) Sam Houston (+410) | -20.8 percentage points vs Liberty break-even |
| Spread | Liberty -19.6 | Liberty -13.5 (-110) Sam Houston +13.5 (-110) | +6.1 points (market − model Liberty spread) |
| Total | 57.7 | Over 52.5 (-110) Under 52.5 (-110) | +5.2 points (model − market total) |
Sam Houston at Liberty
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:07 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liberty win 63.8% | Liberty (-580) Sam Houston (+420) | -21.5 percentage points vs Liberty break-even |
| Spread | Liberty -19.6 | Liberty -13.5 (-110) Sam Houston +13.5 (-110) | +6.1 points (market − model Liberty spread) |
| Total | 57.7 | Over 52.5 (-110) Under 52.5 (-110) | +5.2 points (model − market total) |
Sam Houston at Liberty
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:39 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liberty win 63.8% | Liberty (-550) Sam Houston (+425) | -20.8 percentage points vs Liberty break-even |
| Spread | Liberty -19.6 | Liberty -13.5 (-120) Sam Houston +13.5 (-108) | +6.1 points (market − model Liberty spread) |
| Total | 57.7 | Over 52.5 (-125) Under 52.5 (-105) | +5.2 points (model − market total) |
Sam Houston at Liberty
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:03 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
College Football · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Our projected score: Missouri State 22.7 · Western Kentucky 31.0
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Western Kentucky win 37.1% | Western Kentucky (-122) Missouri State (+102) | -17.9 percentage points vs Western Kentucky break-even |
| Spread | Western Kentucky -8.3 | Western Kentucky -1.5 (-112) Missouri State +1.5 (-108) | +6.8 points (market − model Western Kentucky spread) |
| Total | 53.7 | Over 56.5 (-110) Under 56.5 (-110) | -2.8 points (model − market total) |
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:07 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Western Kentucky win 37.1% | Western Kentucky (-120) Missouri State (+100) | -17.5 percentage points vs Western Kentucky break-even |
| Spread | Western Kentucky -8.3 | Western Kentucky -1.5 (-110) Missouri State +1.5 (-110) | +6.8 points (market − model Western Kentucky spread) |
| Total | 53.7 | Over 56.5 (-114) Under 56.5 (-106) | -2.8 points (model − market total) |
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:39 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Western Kentucky win 37.1% | Western Kentucky (-118) Missouri State (-102) | -17.1 percentage points vs Western Kentucky break-even |
| Spread | Western Kentucky -8.3 | Western Kentucky -1.5 (-112) Missouri State +1.5 (-118) | +6.8 points (market − model Western Kentucky spread) |
| Total | 53.7 | Over 56.5 (-125) Under 56.5 (-105) | -2.8 points (model − market total) |
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:03 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
NHL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Our projected score: Vancouver Canucks 3.0 · Carolina Hurricanes 3.6
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carolina Hurricanes win 58.8% | Carolina Hurricanes (-340) Vancouver Canucks (+270) | -18.5 percentage points vs Carolina Hurricanes break-even |
| Spread | Carolina Hurricanes -0.6 | Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 (-130) Vancouver Canucks +1.5 (+110) | -0.9 points (market − model Carolina Hurricanes spread) |
| Total | 6.5 | Over 6.5 (-102) Under 6.5 (-118) | 0 points (model − market total) |
Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:03:56 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carolina Hurricanes win 58.8% | Carolina Hurricanes (-330) Vancouver Canucks (+260) | -18 percentage points vs Carolina Hurricanes break-even |
| Spread | Carolina Hurricanes -0.6 | Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 (-122) Vancouver Canucks +1.5 (+100) | -0.9 points (market − model Carolina Hurricanes spread) |
| Total | 6.5 | Over 6.5 (+100) Under 6.5 (-122) | 0 points (model − market total) |
Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:29 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carolina Hurricanes win 58.8% | Carolina Hurricanes (-325) Vancouver Canucks (+260) | -17.7 percentage points vs Carolina Hurricanes break-even |
| Spread | Carolina Hurricanes -0.6 | Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 (-130) Vancouver Canucks +1.5 (+105) | -0.9 points (market − model Carolina Hurricanes spread) |
| Total | 6.5 | Over 6.5 (-105) Under 6.5 (-115) | 0 points (model − market total) |
Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:02:43 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
NHL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Our projected score: Nashville Predators 3.2 · Montréal Canadiens 3.2
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montréal Canadiens win 49.9% | Montréal Canadiens (-180) Nashville Predators (+150) | -14.4 percentage points vs Montréal Canadiens break-even |
| Spread | Montréal Canadiens 0 | Montréal Canadiens -1.5 (+142) Nashville Predators +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 points (market − model Montréal Canadiens spread) |
| Total | 6.3 | Over 6.5 (+105) Under 6.5 (-125) | -0.2 points (model − market total) |
Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:03:56 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montréal Canadiens win 49.9% | Montréal Canadiens (-182) Nashville Predators (+150) | -14.7 percentage points vs Montréal Canadiens break-even |
| Spread | Montréal Canadiens 0 | Montréal Canadiens -1.5 (+136) Nashville Predators +1.5 (-168) | -1.5 points (market − model Montréal Canadiens spread) |
| Total | 6.3 | Over 6.5 (+106) Under 6.5 (-130) | -0.2 points (model − market total) |
Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:29 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montréal Canadiens win 49.9% | Montréal Canadiens (-180) Nashville Predators (+145) | -14.4 percentage points vs Montréal Canadiens break-even |
| Spread | Montréal Canadiens 0 | Montréal Canadiens -1.5 (+135) Nashville Predators +1.5 (-160) | -1.5 points (market − model Montréal Canadiens spread) |
| Total | 6.3 | Over 6 (-120) Under 6 (+100) | +0.3 points (model − market total) |
Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:02:43 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
NHL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Our projected score: Utah Mammoth 3.0 · Boston Bruins 3.0
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Bruins win 50.3% | Boston Bruins (+105) Utah Mammoth (-125) | +1.5 percentage points vs Boston Bruins break-even |
| Spread | Boston Bruins 0 | Boston Bruins +1.5 (-250) Utah Mammoth -1.5 (+205) | +1.5 points (market − model Boston Bruins spread) |
| Total | 6.0 | Over 5.5 (-135) Under 5.5 (+114) | +0.5 points (model − market total) |
Utah Mammoth at Boston Bruins
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:03:56 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Bruins win 50.3% | Boston Bruins (+104) Utah Mammoth (-125) | +1.3 percentage points vs Boston Bruins break-even |
| Spread | Boston Bruins 0 | Boston Bruins +1.5 (-265) Utah Mammoth -1.5 (+210) | +1.5 points (market − model Boston Bruins spread) |
| Total | 6.0 | Over 5.5 (-128) Under 5.5 (+104) | +0.5 points (model − market total) |
Utah Mammoth at Boston Bruins
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:29 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Bruins win 50.3% | Boston Bruins (+105) Utah Mammoth (-130) | +1.5 percentage points vs Boston Bruins break-even |
| Spread | Boston Bruins 0 | Boston Bruins +1.5 (-225) Utah Mammoth -1.5 (+185) | +1.5 points (market − model Boston Bruins spread) |
| Total | 6.0 | Over 6 (-105) Under 6 (-115) | 0 points (model − market total) |
Utah Mammoth at Boston Bruins
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:02:43 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
NHL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Our projected score: Minnesota Wild 2.9 · Tampa Bay Lightning 2.9
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tampa Bay Lightning win 50.3% | Tampa Bay Lightning (-155) Minnesota Wild (+130) | -10.4 percentage points vs Tampa Bay Lightning break-even |
| Spread | Tampa Bay Lightning 0 | Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+170) Minnesota Wild +1.5 (-205) | -1.5 points (market − model Tampa Bay Lightning spread) |
| Total | 5.8 | Over 5.5 (-130) Under 5.5 (+110) | +0.3 points (model − market total) |
Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:03:56 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tampa Bay Lightning win 50.3% | Tampa Bay Lightning (-146) Minnesota Wild (+122) | -9 percentage points vs Tampa Bay Lightning break-even |
| Spread | Tampa Bay Lightning 0 | Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+164) Minnesota Wild +1.5 (-210) | -1.5 points (market − model Tampa Bay Lightning spread) |
| Total | 5.8 | Over 5.5 (-132) Under 5.5 (+108) | +0.3 points (model − market total) |
Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:29 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tampa Bay Lightning win 50.3% | Tampa Bay Lightning (-145) Minnesota Wild (+120) | -8.8 percentage points vs Tampa Bay Lightning break-even |
| Spread | Tampa Bay Lightning 0 | Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+165) Minnesota Wild +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 points (market − model Tampa Bay Lightning spread) |
| Total | 5.8 | Over 6 (-102) Under 6 (-118) | -0.2 points (model − market total) |
Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:02:43 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
Waiting for verified private inputs and a usable matchup slate.
NHL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Boston Bruins win 50.3% · fair Boston Bruins moneyline -101 · fair Utah Mammoth moneyline +101 · fair Boston Bruins spread -0.0 · total 6.0
The model projects Boston Bruins ahead by 0.0 with a game total of 6.0. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 2 days for Utah Mammoth and 3 for Boston Bruins. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Our projected score: Utah Mammoth 3.0 · Boston Bruins 3.0
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Bruins win 50.3% | Boston Bruins (+105) Utah Mammoth (-125) | +1.5 percentage points vs Boston Bruins break-even |
| Spread | Boston Bruins 0 | Boston Bruins +1.5 (-250) Utah Mammoth -1.5 (+205) | +1.5 points (market − model Boston Bruins spread) |
| Total | 6.0 | Over 5.5 (-135) Under 5.5 (+114) | +0.5 points (model − market total) |
Utah Mammoth at Boston Bruins
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:03:56 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Bruins win 50.3% | Boston Bruins (+104) Utah Mammoth (-125) | +1.3 percentage points vs Boston Bruins break-even |
| Spread | Boston Bruins 0 | Boston Bruins +1.5 (-265) Utah Mammoth -1.5 (+210) | +1.5 points (market − model Boston Bruins spread) |
| Total | 6.0 | Over 5.5 (-128) Under 5.5 (+104) | +0.5 points (model − market total) |
Utah Mammoth at Boston Bruins
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:29 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Bruins win 50.3% | Boston Bruins (+105) Utah Mammoth (-130) | +1.5 percentage points vs Boston Bruins break-even |
| Spread | Boston Bruins 0 | Boston Bruins +1.5 (-225) Utah Mammoth -1.5 (+185) | +1.5 points (market − model Boston Bruins spread) |
| Total | 6.0 | Over 6 (-105) Under 6 (-115) | 0 points (model − market total) |
Utah Mammoth at Boston Bruins
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:02:43 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
NHL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Buffalo Sabres win 51.2% · fair Buffalo Sabres moneyline -105 · fair Dallas Stars moneyline +105 · fair Buffalo Sabres spread -0.1 · total 6.3
The model projects Buffalo Sabres ahead by 0.1 with a game total of 6.3. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 3 days for Dallas Stars and 2 for Buffalo Sabres. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Our projected score: Dallas Stars 3.1 · Buffalo Sabres 3.2
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Sabres win 51.2% | Buffalo Sabres (-102) Dallas Stars (-118) | +0.8 percentage points vs Buffalo Sabres break-even |
| Spread | Buffalo Sabres -0.1 | Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (-258) Dallas Stars -1.5 (+210) | +1.6 points (market − model Buffalo Sabres spread) |
| Total | 6.3 | Over 6.5 (+110) Under 6.5 (-130) | -0.2 points (model − market total) |
Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:03:56 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Sabres win 51.2% | Buffalo Sabres (-106) Dallas Stars (-113) | -0.2 percentage points vs Buffalo Sabres break-even |
| Spread | Buffalo Sabres -0.1 | Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (-245) Dallas Stars -1.5 (+194) | +1.6 points (market − model Buffalo Sabres spread) |
| Total | 6.3 | Over 6.5 (+112) Under 6.5 (-140) | -0.2 points (model − market total) |
Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:29 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Sabres win 51.2% | Buffalo Sabres (-102) Dallas Stars (-118) | +0.8 percentage points vs Buffalo Sabres break-even |
| Spread | Buffalo Sabres -0.1 | Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (-250) Dallas Stars -1.5 (+200) | +1.6 points (market − model Buffalo Sabres spread) |
| Total | 6.3 | Over 6 (-118) Under 6 (-102) | +0.3 points (model − market total) |
Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:02:43 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
NHL · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT
Montréal Canadiens win 49.9% · fair Montréal Canadiens moneyline +101 · fair Nashville Predators moneyline -101 · fair Montréal Canadiens spread 0.0 · total 6.3
The model projects Nashville Predators ahead by 0.0 with a game total of 6.3. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 2 days for Nashville Predators and 2 for Montréal Canadiens. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Our projected score: Nashville Predators 3.2 · Montréal Canadiens 3.2
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montréal Canadiens win 49.9% | Montréal Canadiens (-180) Nashville Predators (+150) | -14.4 percentage points vs Montréal Canadiens break-even |
| Spread | Montréal Canadiens 0 | Montréal Canadiens -1.5 (+142) Nashville Predators +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 points (market − model Montréal Canadiens spread) |
| Total | 6.3 | Over 6.5 (+105) Under 6.5 (-125) | -0.2 points (model − market total) |
Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:03:56 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montréal Canadiens win 49.9% | Montréal Canadiens (-182) Nashville Predators (+150) | -14.7 percentage points vs Montréal Canadiens break-even |
| Spread | Montréal Canadiens 0 | Montréal Canadiens -1.5 (+136) Nashville Predators +1.5 (-168) | -1.5 points (market − model Montréal Canadiens spread) |
| Total | 6.3 | Over 6.5 (+106) Under 6.5 (-130) | -0.2 points (model − market total) |
Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:29 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Montréal Canadiens win 49.9% | Montréal Canadiens (-180) Nashville Predators (+145) | -14.4 percentage points vs Montréal Canadiens break-even |
| Spread | Montréal Canadiens 0 | Montréal Canadiens -1.5 (+135) Nashville Predators +1.5 (-160) | -1.5 points (market − model Montréal Canadiens spread) |
| Total | 6.3 | Over 6 (-120) Under 6 (+100) | +0.3 points (model − market total) |
Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:02:43 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
NFL · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
Dallas Cowboys win 64.7% · fair Dallas Cowboys moneyline -183 · fair Tampa Bay Buccaneers moneyline +209 · fair Dallas Cowboys spread -5.6 · total 49.9
The model projects Dallas Cowboys ahead by 5.6 with a game total of 49.9. Recent scoring and opponent points allowed enter separately; at least 12 prior games per team contribute to the estimate. Recorded rest is 4 days for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 4 for Dallas Cowboys. Short-term form, venue splits and prior-opponent strength also enter the model. Injuries and lineup changes are unverified. This is a model lean, not a validated betting recommendation.
Confidence: not calibrated. Missing contextual inputs remain unavailable.
exploratory; injuries and starting lineup unverified. Preliminary model; not an official betting pick.
Our projected score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22.1 · Dallas Cowboys 27.8
DraftKingsCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys win 64.7% | Dallas Cowboys (-470) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+360) | -17.8 percentage points vs Dallas Cowboys break-even |
| Spread | Dallas Cowboys -5.6 | Dallas Cowboys -8.5 (-115) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 (-105) | -2.9 points (market − model Dallas Cowboys spread) |
| Total | 49.9 | Over 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 (-105) | +2.4 points (model − market total) |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:03:52 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
FanDuelCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys win 64.7% | Dallas Cowboys (-460) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+360) | -17.5 percentage points vs Dallas Cowboys break-even |
| Spread | Dallas Cowboys -5.6 | Dallas Cowboys -8.5 (-105) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 (-115) | -2.9 points (market − model Dallas Cowboys spread) |
| Total | 49.9 | Over 48.5 (-105) Under 48.5 (-115) | +1.4 points (model − market total) |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:39 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
BetMGMCached sportsbook odds
| Market | Our model | Sportsbook snapshot | Model / market difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys win 64.7% | Dallas Cowboys (-475) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+375) | -17.9 percentage points vs Dallas Cowboys break-even |
| Spread | Dallas Cowboys -5.6 | Dallas Cowboys -8.5 (-108) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 (-110) | -2.9 points (market − model Dallas Cowboys spread) |
| Total | 49.9 | Over 47.5 (-135) Under 47.5 (+105) | +2.4 points (model − market total) |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys
Oldest displayed book update 10/8/2026, 7:04:25 AM CDT · retrieved 10/8/2026, 7:08:48 AM CDT
Differences are arithmetic comparisons, not validated betting edges or positive-EV recommendations. Bookmaker prices include margin and may have changed.
The original database, matchup URLs, statistical model and historical picks remain available. Week 6 · 391 verified completed games.
NFL projections use recorded player-game statistics. They are preliminary estimates with unverified availability, not sportsbook offers.
NBA, NHL and MLB props await permitted current player data. Categories and coverage are shown in the Player Props section.
No selection currently meets both verified-price and validated-model requirements. Zero qualifying bets is a valid result.
Selection policy & filters →| Sport | History | Latest final | Test season / games | Score MAE | Brier | Log loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 919 | 2026-10-05 | 2026 / 64 | 7.7 | 0.226 | 0.642 |
| NBA | 0 | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| NHL | 1449 | 2026-10-07 | 2026 / 55 | 1.5 | 0.240 | 0.673 |
| MLB | 7289 | 2025-09-28 | 2025 / 2425 | 2.5 | 0.246 | 0.686 |
Research backtests; no profitability claim. NBA and MLB studies use historical coverage and do not support current-season forecasts.
| Published | Sport / game | Original score | Team win probability | Result | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDT | NHL Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators | 2.9–3.1 | Ottawa Senators 52.6% | Pending | SADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0 |
| 10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDT | NHL Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres | 2.9–3.2 | Buffalo Sabres 55.3% | Pending | SADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0 |
| 10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDT | NHL Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights | 2.9–3.0 | Vegas Golden Knights 52.7% | Pending | SADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0 |
| 10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDT | NHL Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks | 3.4–3.0 | Vancouver Canucks 43.4% | Pending | SADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0 |
| 10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDT | NHL Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken | 3.1–3.2 | Seattle Kraken 51.3% | Pending | SADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0 |
| 10/8/2026, 11:26:34 AM CDT | NHL Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers | 3.4–3.3 | Edmonton Oilers 49.2% | Pending | SADP-NHL-goal-count-2.0 |
CFB counts official published selections. Professional rows count first-published winner forecasts, not betting results. Units and ROI require recorded prices and stakes.
| Sport / record type | W–L–P | Pending | Win % | Units / ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| College Football · official | 1–0–0 | 29 | 100.0% | Unavailable |
| NFL · research winners | 0–0–0 | 29 | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| NBA · research winners | 0–0–0 | 0 | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| NHL · research winners | 0–0–0 | 98 | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| MLB · research winners | 0–0–0 | 0 | Unavailable | Unavailable |
WIN
Under 46.5
Locked record →NEWS & INJURIES
Official source links and dated headlines. News is separate from our forecasts; a headline is not a confirmed lineup change.
College Football · NCAA.com
Published 10/6/2026, 2:54:21 PM CDT
Cached 10/8/2026, 10:56:07 AM CDT · Read the source →
College Football · NCAA.com
Published 10/4/2026, 1:32:17 PM CDT
Cached 10/8/2026, 10:56:07 AM CDT · Read the source →
College Football · NCAA.com
Published 10/4/2026, 7:54:00 AM CDT
Cached 10/8/2026, 10:56:07 AM CDT · Read the source →