Statistical projections, recorded game logs and empirical threshold estimates. Model Projection Only.
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION249.8
Season average 249.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 299.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 292.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 187.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 221.0 |
Empirical distribution: 221.0, 187.0, 292.0, 299.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.8
Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 3.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 10.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | -3.0 |
Empirical distribution: -3.0, 5.0, 10.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.8
Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 1.0, 3.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION297.3
Season average 297.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 317.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 390.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 327.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 155.0 |
Empirical distribution: 155.0, 327.0, 390.0, 317.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5
Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 4.0, 2.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION5.3
Season average 5.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 10.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 13.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | -1.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | -1.0 |
Empirical distribution: -1.0, -1.0, 13.0, 10.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.8
Season average 2.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 4.0, 2.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kirk Cousins
LV vs NE · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION256.5
Season average 256.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 365.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 248.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 253.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 160.0 |
Empirical distribution: 160.0, 253.0, 248.0, 365.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kirk Cousins
LV vs NE · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.8
Season average 2.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kirk Cousins
LV vs NE · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 5.0 |
Empirical distribution: 5.0, 4.0, 3.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kirk Cousins
LV vs NE · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Travis Kelce
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION61.5
Season average 61.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 15.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 59.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 101.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 71.0 |
Empirical distribution: 71.0, 101.0, 59.0, 15.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Travis Kelce
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.0
Season average 4.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 9.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 9.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Travis Kelce
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY50.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Davante Adams
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION97.5
Season average 97.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 32.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 137.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 195.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 26.0 |
Empirical distribution: 26.0, 195.0, 137.0, 32.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Davante Adams
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION5.5
Season average 5.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 7.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 8.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 8.0, 7.0, 4.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Davante Adams
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Mike Evans
SF vs SEA · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION53.3
Season average 53.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 76.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 34.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 54.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 49.0 |
Empirical distribution: 49.0, 54.0, 34.0, 76.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Mike Evans
SF vs SEA · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.3
Season average 4.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 6.0 |
Empirical distribution: 6.0, 3.0, 3.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Mike Evans
SF vs SEA · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY50.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Stefon Diggs
WAS vs NYG · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION42.5
Season average 42.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 35.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 33.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 47.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 55.0 |
Empirical distribution: 55.0, 47.0, 33.0, 35.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Stefon Diggs
WAS vs NYG · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.5
Season average 4.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 4.0 |
Empirical distribution: 4.0, 5.0, 4.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Stefon Diggs
WAS vs NYG · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY50.0%
Season average 0.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Darren Waller
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION37.0
Season average 37.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 36.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 51.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 33.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 28.0 |
Empirical distribution: 28.0, 33.0, 51.0, 36.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Darren Waller
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.3
Season average 3.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 3.0, 5.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Darren Waller
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION11.3
Season average 11.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 11.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 32.0 |
Empirical distribution: 32.0, 11.0, 2.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.5
Season average 2.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 4.0 |
Empirical distribution: 4.0, 3.0, 3.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.5
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.5
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kalif Raymond
CHI vs GB · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION55.0
Season average 55.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | 90.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 40.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 84.0 |
Empirical distribution: 84.0, 40.0, 90.0, 6.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kalif Raymond
CHI vs GB · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION5.3
Season average 5.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 8.0 |
Empirical distribution: 8.0, 5.0, 6.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kalif Raymond
CHI vs GB · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION93.5
Season average 93.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 73.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 89.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 68.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 144.0 |
Empirical distribution: 144.0, 68.0, 89.0, 73.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION22.3
Season average 22.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 23.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 26.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 16.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 24.0 |
Empirical distribution: 24.0, 16.0, 26.0, 23.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION11.0
Season average 11.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 19.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 19.0 |
Empirical distribution: 19.0, 19.0, 0.0, 6.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.8
Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 3.0, 1.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY100.0%
Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 1.0, 2.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION266.3
Season average 266.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 335.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 276.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 279.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 175.0 |
Empirical distribution: 175.0, 279.0, 276.0, 335.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.0
Season average 2.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 4.0, 1.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION16.5
Season average 16.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 7.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 19.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 26.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 14.0 |
Empirical distribution: 14.0, 26.0, 19.0, 7.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 4.0, 4.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Hunter Henry
NE vs LV · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION33.3
Season average 33.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 40.0 |
| 2026-09-09 | 26.0 |
Empirical distribution: 26.0, 40.0, 5.0, 62.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Hunter Henry
NE vs LV · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-09 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 3.0, 1.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Hunter Henry
NE vs LV · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-09 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION303.5
Season average 303.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 412.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 269.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 327.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 206.0 |
Empirical distribution: 206.0, 327.0, 269.0, 412.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.3
Season average 2.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 4.0, 2.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.8
Season average 3.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 7.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 7.0, 6.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.3
Season average 2.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION204.5
Season average 204.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 166.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 280.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 95.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 277.0 |
Empirical distribution: 277.0, 95.0, 280.0, 166.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5
Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 1.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION10.8
Season average 10.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 18.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 7.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 14.0 |
Empirical distribution: 14.0, 7.0, 4.0, 18.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.8
Season average 3.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 6.0 |
Empirical distribution: 6.0, 1.0, 4.0, 4.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 12:13:43 PM CDT
Showing 60 results. Filter by player, team or date to narrow the list.
Passing yards · Passing touchdowns · Rushing yards · Rushing attempts · Receiving yards · Receptions · Anytime touchdown
Preliminary projections where recorded samples meet minimum requirements.
Points · Rebounds · Assists · Three-pointers · Points + rebounds + assists · Steals · Blocks
Private player inputs produce derived market comparisons only when real fresh sportsbook lines and sufficient player history match. Source logs and databases are not public.
Private player inputs produce derived market comparisons only when real fresh sportsbook lines and sufficient player history match. Source logs and databases are not public.
Unavailable: no permitted current player-game dataset integrated.