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South Ark Daily Picks / South Carolina vs Florida Original Prediction & Model Review | Oct 10, 2026

South Carolina vs Florida Original Prediction & Model Review | Oct 10, 2026

South Carolina vs Florida, Oct 10, 2026: SE v3.0 projected score 20.9–43.6 (away–home). Review the saved forecast and result status.

College Football · Historical model record · SE v3.0

South Carolina at Florida

Kickoff 10/10/2026, 11:45:00 AM CDT · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
SEC / SEC · Week 6

Article published 10/13/2026, 12:07:25 PM CDT · last material update 10/13/2026, 12:07:25 PM CDT

AWAY · Not available

South Carolina

20.9
MODEL
PROJECTION
HOME · Not available

Florida

43.6
Projected winner FloridaMargin 22.7Total 64.5Home win 69.5%Away win Unavailable

Model projections are estimates. Forecast timestamp 10/9/2026, 1:14:19 PM CDT · feature-data cutoff 10/9/2026, 4:09:23 AM CDT. Imported original pregame forecast. No archived pregame statistical comparison exists; current-season totals were not substituted.

Official betting selection

SE v3.0 · selection status

No official selection recorded

No official selection is stored for this game. The displayed forecast is not itself a published wager.

Team statistics & league rankings

Archived pregame comparison · ranks use covered teams within College Football · #1 is best for each metric.

Comparable verified observations · missing data stays unavailable
MetricSouth CarolinaFlorida
Points / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Points allowed / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Total yards / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Yards allowed / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Passing yards / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Rushing yards / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Yards / playUnavailableUnavailable
Yards allowed / playUnavailableUnavailable
Third-down conversionUnavailableUnavailable
Third-down conversion allowedUnavailableUnavailable
Turnovers / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Takeaways / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Offensive EPA / playUnavailableUnavailable
EPA allowed / playUnavailableUnavailable
Offensive success rateUnavailableUnavailable
Success rate allowedUnavailableUnavailable
Red-zone scoring rateUnavailableUnavailable
Turnover differential / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Defensive sacks / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Tackles for loss / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Passing EPA / pass playUnavailableUnavailable
Rushing EPA / rush playUnavailableUnavailable
Explosive-play rateUnavailableUnavailable
Sacks suffered / pass playUnavailableUnavailable
QB hits / pass playUnavailableUnavailable
Adjusted strength of scheduleUnavailableUnavailable

Statistical advantages

The stored production forecast is South Carolina 20.9, Florida 43.6. Florida is projected to win by 22.7 points. SE v3.0 uses recent team and opponent profiles rather than just the full-season averages shown here. The college football model includes home/away context; an independently attributable home-field point adjustment is not exposed for this game, so none is claimed.

Archived pregame team statistics were not captured for this imported game. Current postgame season averages are not substituted into its historical preview.

Key matchup factors

Saved sportsbook observations

Spread unavailable
Total unavailable
Observed Not verified. Saved market observations can differ from the original locked betting line.

Final model assessment

Florida is the projected winner in the original stored scoring forecast, with a 22.7-point margin and 64.5 combined points. Statistical coverage is limited, so the forecast should not be presented as a fully explained betting edge. The official selection, when published, remains the specific wager in the tracker.

Verified final & model performance

South Carolina 38 — Florida 19

Source CollegeFootballData.com. The original forecast and official betting terms remain preserved.

Winner prediction
Incorrect
Home margin · actual / model
-19.0 / +22.7
Total · actual / model
57 / 64.5
Margin error
41.7
Total error
7.5
Official betting result
No selection recorded

The actual combined score was 57, 7.5 points below the saved projection. The actual home margin was -19.0, compared with +22.7 projected.

Verified postgame South Carolina: 279.0 passing yards · 114.0 rushing yards · 0 turnovers. These are game-result observations and do not revise the pregame comparison.

Verified postgame Florida: 267.0 passing yards · 120.0 rushing yards · 3 turnovers. These are game-result observations and do not revise the pregame comparison.

Explore this matchup

Game previews · Spreadsheet entry · Tracked betting record · SEC previews

Related team matchups

Definitions, coverage & original timestamps

Game ID college-football:401856714. Article creation is not the original prediction timestamp. Original forecast 10/9/2026, 1:14:19 PM CDT; final stored pregame forecast 10/9/2026, 1:14:19 PM CDT. Rates use summed observed numerators and denominators; game averages use games with that statistic. Rankings use competition ties within the covered league population. NFL data uses regular-season games. EPA / play uses observed PBP EPA counts; success means positive EPA. Explosive plays use the source aggregation’s 20-yard passing / 10-yard rushing thresholds. CFB red-zone scoring includes field goals and touchdowns; a different NFL red-zone rate is not substituted. Quarterback hit rate is a hit proxy, not a complete pressure rate. Missing adjusted strength of schedule, pressure rates or archived inputs remain unavailable.