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South Ark Daily Picks / Player Prop Projections

Player Prop Projections

Statistical projections, recorded game logs and empirical threshold estimates. Model Projection Only.

College FootballNFL

Player models vs cached sportsbook lines

Model research only. Historical frequencies are descriptive, unvalidated and not calibrated forecasts. Ties are pushes; the price comparison excludes pushes. No positive-EV or betting recommendation is established.

No verified fresh player-line/model matches. Missing inputs remain unavailable.

Preliminary player research

These are descriptive statistical baselines. Injuries, active roster status, expected role and opponent adjustments are unverified. Empirical samples are small and do not establish calibrated betting probabilities. Any separately displayed sportsbook snapshots are independent observations; model estimates remain preliminary.

52 statistical projections

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Derrick Henry

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION93.5

Season average 93.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-0473.0
2026-09-2789.0
2026-09-2068.0
2026-09-13144.0

Empirical distribution: 144.0, 68.0, 89.0, 73.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Derrick Henry

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION22.3

Season average 22.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-0423.0
2026-09-2726.0
2026-09-2016.0
2026-09-1324.0

Empirical distribution: 24.0, 16.0, 26.0, 23.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Derrick Henry

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION11.0

Season average 11.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-046.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-2019.0
2026-09-1319.0

Empirical distribution: 19.0, 19.0, 0.0, 6.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Derrick Henry

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.8

Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-271.0
2026-09-203.0
2026-09-131.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 3.0, 1.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Derrick Henry

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY100.0%

Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-041.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-133.0

Empirical distribution: 3.0, 1.0, 2.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Mark Andrews

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION37.3

Season average 37.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0427.0
2026-09-2724.0
2026-09-2049.0
2026-09-1349.0

Empirical distribution: 49.0, 49.0, 24.0, 27.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Mark Andrews

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.5

Season average 4.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-045.0
2026-09-273.0
2026-09-206.0
2026-09-134.0

Empirical distribution: 4.0, 6.0, 3.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Mark Andrews

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-041.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Lamar Jackson

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION241.8

Season average 241.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DatePassing yards
2026-10-04222.0
2026-09-27186.0
2026-09-20235.0
2026-09-13324.0

Empirical distribution: 324.0, 235.0, 186.0, 222.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Lamar Jackson

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5

Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DatePassing touchdowns
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-131.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 1.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Lamar Jackson

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION36.0

Season average 36.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-0420.0
2026-09-2750.0
2026-09-2034.0
2026-09-1340.0

Empirical distribution: 40.0, 34.0, 50.0, 20.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Lamar Jackson

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.8

Season average 4.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-276.0
2026-09-204.0
2026-09-137.0

Empirical distribution: 7.0, 4.0, 6.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Lamar Jackson

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-131.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Olamide Zaccheaus

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.3

Season average 4.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-050.0
2026-09-249.0
2026-09-203.0
2026-09-135.0

Empirical distribution: 5.0, 3.0, 9.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Olamide Zaccheaus

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.0

Season average 1.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-050.0
2026-09-242.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-131.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 1.0, 2.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Olamide Zaccheaus

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-050.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Kyle Pitts

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION16.8

Season average 16.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0547.0
2026-09-245.0
2026-09-2015.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 15.0, 5.0, 47.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Kyle Pitts

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.3

Season average 1.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-053.0
2026-09-241.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Kyle Pitts

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-050.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Brian Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION48.5

Season average 48.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-0562.0
2026-09-2450.0
2026-09-2051.0
2026-09-1331.0

Empirical distribution: 31.0, 51.0, 50.0, 62.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Brian Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION11.0

Season average 11.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-0514.0
2026-09-2410.0
2026-09-2011.0
2026-09-139.0

Empirical distribution: 9.0, 11.0, 10.0, 14.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Brian Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION5.3

Season average 5.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-055.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-2016.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 16.0, 0.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Brian Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.8

Season average 0.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-051.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Brian Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY50.0%

Season average 1.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-053.0
2026-09-241.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION123.5

Season average 123.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-05145.0
2026-09-24194.0
2026-09-2072.0
2026-09-1383.0

Empirical distribution: 83.0, 72.0, 194.0, 145.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION21.3

Season average 21.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-0519.0
2026-09-2429.0
2026-09-2016.0
2026-09-1321.0

Empirical distribution: 21.0, 16.0, 29.0, 19.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION30.0

Season average 30.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-052.0
2026-09-2419.0
2026-09-209.0
2026-09-1390.0

Empirical distribution: 90.0, 9.0, 19.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.5

Season average 3.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-051.0
2026-09-242.0
2026-09-203.0
2026-09-138.0

Empirical distribution: 8.0, 3.0, 2.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Bijan Robinson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY75.0%

Season average 1.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-052.0
2026-09-242.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-131.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

LaJohntay Wester

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION7.3

Season average 7.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-2014.0
2026-09-1315.0

Empirical distribution: 15.0, 14.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

LaJohntay Wester

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.8

Season average 0.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-132.0

Empirical distribution: 2.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

LaJohntay Wester

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Rashod Bateman

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION42.8

Season average 42.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0446.0
2026-09-2737.0
2026-09-2088.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 88.0, 37.0, 46.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Rashod Bateman

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.8

Season average 2.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-272.0
2026-09-207.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 7.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Rashod Bateman

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Drake London

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION92.5

Season average 92.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0596.0
2026-09-24194.0
2026-09-2051.0
2026-09-1329.0

Empirical distribution: 29.0, 51.0, 194.0, 96.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Drake London

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION5.0

Season average 5.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-055.0
2026-09-249.0
2026-09-204.0
2026-09-132.0

Empirical distribution: 2.0, 4.0, 9.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Drake London

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-050.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Jahan Dotson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION23.8

Season average 23.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0554.0
2026-09-2411.0
2026-09-2011.0
2026-09-1319.0

Empirical distribution: 19.0, 11.0, 11.0, 54.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Jahan Dotson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5

Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-052.0
2026-09-241.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-131.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 2.0, 1.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Jahan Dotson

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%

Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-051.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Chris Blair

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5

Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-050.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-206.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 6.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Chris Blair

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.3

Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-050.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-201.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Chris Blair

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-050.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Justice Hill

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION15.0

Season average 15.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing yards
2026-10-043.0
2026-09-2733.0
2026-09-206.0
2026-09-1318.0

Empirical distribution: 18.0, 6.0, 33.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Justice Hill

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.5

Season average 3.5 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateRushing attempts
2026-10-041.0
2026-09-275.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-136.0

Empirical distribution: 6.0, 2.0, 5.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Justice Hill

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION11.0

Season average 11.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0422.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-2012.0
2026-09-1310.0

Empirical distribution: 10.0, 12.0, 0.0, 22.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Justice Hill

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.3

Season average 1.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-042.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-131.0

Empirical distribution: 1.0, 2.0, 0.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Justice Hill

BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-040.0
2026-09-270.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Zachariah Branch

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION7.8

Season average 7.8 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceiving yards
2026-10-0510.0
2026-09-247.0
2026-09-2014.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 14.0, 7.0, 10.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Zachariah Branch

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.3

Season average 1.3 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateReceptions
2026-10-052.0
2026-09-241.0
2026-09-202.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY

Zachariah Branch

ATL vs BAL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT

EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%

Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games

Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.

Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.

Recent game logs & distribution
DateAnytime touchdown
2026-10-050.0
2026-09-240.0
2026-09-200.0
2026-09-130.0

Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.

Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM CDT

Coverage by league

NFL

Passing yards · Passing touchdowns · Rushing yards · Rushing attempts · Receiving yards · Receptions · Anytime touchdown

Preliminary projections where recorded samples meet minimum requirements.

Sportsbook player prop lines

Cached SportsGameOdds snapshots, independent of model projections. Coverage is limited to a budgeted selection. Prices may have changed; these are not live offers or recommendations. Odds board & object budget →

No cached player prop prices in this selection. No odds are invented. Source access, bookmaker coverage or the free budget may limit availability.