Statistical projections, recorded game logs and empirical threshold estimates. Model Projection Only.
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Travis Kelce
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION61.5
Season average 61.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 15.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 59.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 101.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 71.0 |
Empirical distribution: 71.0, 101.0, 59.0, 15.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Travis Kelce
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.0
Season average 4.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 9.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 9.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Travis Kelce
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY50.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Darren Waller
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION37.0
Season average 37.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 36.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 51.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 33.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 28.0 |
Empirical distribution: 28.0, 33.0, 51.0, 36.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Darren Waller
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.3
Season average 3.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 3.0, 5.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Darren Waller
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Patrick Mahomes
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION259.3
Season average 259.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 225.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 246.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 382.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 184.0 |
Empirical distribution: 184.0, 382.0, 246.0, 225.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Patrick Mahomes
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.3
Season average 2.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 3.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Patrick Mahomes
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION10.3
Season average 10.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 17.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 23.0 |
Empirical distribution: 23.0, 17.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Patrick Mahomes
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 7.0 |
Empirical distribution: 7.0, 2.0, 1.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Patrick Mahomes
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Chuba Hubbard
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION76.5
Season average 76.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 122.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 82.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 53.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 49.0 |
Empirical distribution: 49.0, 53.0, 82.0, 122.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Chuba Hubbard
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION15.3
Season average 15.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 20.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 19.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 12.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 10.0 |
Empirical distribution: 10.0, 12.0, 19.0, 20.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Chuba Hubbard
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION21.0
Season average 21.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 7.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 28.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 11.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 38.0 |
Empirical distribution: 38.0, 11.0, 28.0, 7.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Chuba Hubbard
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.5
Season average 2.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 2.0, 4.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Chuba Hubbard
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY75.0%
Season average 1.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 1.0, 0.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Tommy Tremble
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION20.5
Season average 20.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 12.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 41.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 25.0 |
Empirical distribution: 25.0, 4.0, 41.0, 12.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Tommy Tremble
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.8
Season average 2.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 1.0, 3.0, 4.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Tommy Tremble
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Tyquan Thornton
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION54.8
Season average 54.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 111.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 22.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 86.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 86.0, 22.0, 111.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Tyquan Thornton
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.8
Season average 2.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 4.0, 2.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Tyquan Thornton
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kenneth Walker III
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION134.3
Season average 134.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 177.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 70.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 117.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 173.0 |
Empirical distribution: 173.0, 117.0, 70.0, 177.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kenneth Walker III
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION21.8
Season average 21.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 22.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 18.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 24.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 23.0 |
Empirical distribution: 23.0, 24.0, 18.0, 22.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kenneth Walker III
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION21.0
Season average 21.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 61.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 18.0 |
Empirical distribution: 18.0, 61.0, 3.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kenneth Walker III
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 6.0, 2.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kenneth Walker III
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY75.0%
Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 0.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Nikko Remigio
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Brycen Tremayne
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION28.8
Season average 28.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 32.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 83.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 83.0, 32.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Brycen Tremayne
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5
Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 4.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Brycen Tremayne
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Bryce Young
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION317.0
Season average 317.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 329.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 291.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 287.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 361.0 |
Empirical distribution: 361.0, 287.0, 291.0, 329.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Bryce Young
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.3
Season average 2.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 3.0, 1.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Bryce Young
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.8
Season average 4.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 10.0 |
Empirical distribution: 10.0, 6.0, 0.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Bryce Young
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5
Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 1.0, 0.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Bryce Young
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Xavier Worthy
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION33.3
Season average 33.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 70.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 20.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 25.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 18.0 |
Empirical distribution: 18.0, 25.0, 20.0, 70.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Xavier Worthy
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.5
Season average 3.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 5.0, 2.0, 4.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Xavier Worthy
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION96.3
Season average 96.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 192.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 17.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 101.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 75.0 |
Empirical distribution: 75.0, 101.0, 17.0, 192.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION6.5
Season average 6.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 14.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 5.0 |
Empirical distribution: 5.0, 5.0, 2.0, 14.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Mitchell Evans
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION16.5
Season average 16.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 8.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 36.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 13.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 9.0 |
Empirical distribution: 9.0, 13.0, 36.0, 8.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Mitchell Evans
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5
Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 1.0, 3.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Mitchell Evans
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Noah Gray
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION15.3
Season average 15.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 17.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 39.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 5.0 |
Empirical distribution: 5.0, 0.0, 39.0, 17.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Noah Gray
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5
Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 3.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Noah Gray
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
AJ Dillon
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION10.8
Season average 10.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 16.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | -3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 28.0 |
Empirical distribution: 28.0, -3.0, 16.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
AJ Dillon
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.3
Season average 4.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 5.0 |
Empirical distribution: 5.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
AJ Dillon
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.8
Season average 0.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | -2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, -2.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
AJ Dillon
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.5
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
AJ Dillon
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Feleipe Franks
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jalen Royals
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.3
Season average 4.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 11.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 6.0, 11.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jalen Royals
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.8
Season average 0.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jalen Royals
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Emmett Johnson
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION14.0
Season average 14.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 17.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 15.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 24.0 |
Empirical distribution: 24.0, 15.0, 17.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Emmett Johnson
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.0
Season average 4.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 8.0 |
Empirical distribution: 8.0, 2.0, 6.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Emmett Johnson
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION18.5
Season average 18.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 10.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 20.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 44.0 |
Empirical distribution: 44.0, 20.0, 0.0, 10.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
Showing 60 results. Filter by player, team or date to narrow the list.
Passing yards · Passing touchdowns · Rushing yards · Rushing attempts · Receiving yards · Receptions · Anytime touchdown
Preliminary projections where recorded samples meet minimum requirements.