Statistical projections, recorded game logs and empirical threshold estimates. Model Projection Only.
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION249.8
Season average 249.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 299.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 292.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 187.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 221.0 |
Empirical distribution: 221.0, 187.0, 292.0, 299.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.8
Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 3.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 10.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | -3.0 |
Empirical distribution: -3.0, 5.0, 10.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.8
Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 1.0, 3.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Aaron Rodgers
PIT vs IND · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION297.3
Season average 297.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 317.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 390.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 327.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 155.0 |
Empirical distribution: 155.0, 327.0, 390.0, 317.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5
Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 4.0, 2.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION5.3
Season average 5.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 10.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 13.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | -1.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | -1.0 |
Empirical distribution: -1.0, -1.0, 13.0, 10.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.8
Season average 2.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 4.0, 2.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Matthew Stafford
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kirk Cousins
LV vs NE · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION256.5
Season average 256.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 365.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 248.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 253.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 160.0 |
Empirical distribution: 160.0, 253.0, 248.0, 365.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kirk Cousins
LV vs NE · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.8
Season average 2.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 3.0, 3.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kirk Cousins
LV vs NE · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 5.0 |
Empirical distribution: 5.0, 4.0, 3.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kirk Cousins
LV vs NE · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Travis Kelce
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION61.5
Season average 61.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 15.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 59.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 101.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 71.0 |
Empirical distribution: 71.0, 101.0, 59.0, 15.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Travis Kelce
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.0
Season average 4.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 9.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 9.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Travis Kelce
KC vs LAC · 10/18/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY50.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-14 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Davante Adams
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION97.5
Season average 97.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 32.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 137.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 195.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 26.0 |
Empirical distribution: 26.0, 195.0, 137.0, 32.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Davante Adams
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION5.5
Season average 5.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 7.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 8.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 8.0, 7.0, 4.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Davante Adams
LA vs BUF · 10/12/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-21 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Mike Evans
SF vs SEA · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION53.3
Season average 53.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 76.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 34.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 54.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 49.0 |
Empirical distribution: 49.0, 54.0, 34.0, 76.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Mike Evans
SF vs SEA · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.3
Season average 4.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 6.0 |
Empirical distribution: 6.0, 3.0, 3.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Mike Evans
SF vs SEA · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY50.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-10 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Stefon Diggs
WAS vs NYG · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION42.5
Season average 42.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 35.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 33.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 47.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 55.0 |
Empirical distribution: 55.0, 47.0, 33.0, 35.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Stefon Diggs
WAS vs NYG · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION4.5
Season average 4.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 4.0 |
Empirical distribution: 4.0, 5.0, 4.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Stefon Diggs
WAS vs NYG · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY50.0%
Season average 0.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Darren Waller
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION37.0
Season average 37.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 36.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 51.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 33.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 28.0 |
Empirical distribution: 28.0, 33.0, 51.0, 36.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Darren Waller
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.3
Season average 3.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 3.0, 5.0, 3.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Darren Waller
CAR vs PHI · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION11.3
Season average 11.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 11.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 32.0 |
Empirical distribution: 32.0, 11.0, 2.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.5
Season average 2.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 4.0 |
Empirical distribution: 4.0, 3.0, 3.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.5
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION0.5
Season average 0.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Ameer Abdullah
JAX vs PHI · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kalif Raymond
CHI vs GB · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION55.0
Season average 55.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | 90.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 40.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 84.0 |
Empirical distribution: 84.0, 40.0, 90.0, 6.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kalif Raymond
CHI vs GB · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION5.3
Season average 5.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 8.0 |
Empirical distribution: 8.0, 5.0, 6.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Kalif Raymond
CHI vs GB · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION93.5
Season average 93.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 73.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 89.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 68.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 144.0 |
Empirical distribution: 144.0, 68.0, 89.0, 73.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION22.3
Season average 22.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 23.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 26.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 16.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 24.0 |
Empirical distribution: 24.0, 16.0, 26.0, 23.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION11.0
Season average 11.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 19.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 19.0 |
Empirical distribution: 19.0, 19.0, 0.0, 6.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.8
Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 3.0, 1.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Derrick Henry
BAL vs ATL · 10/11/2026, 7:20:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY100.0%
Season average 1.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 1.0, 2.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION266.3
Season average 266.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 335.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 276.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 279.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 175.0 |
Empirical distribution: 175.0, 279.0, 276.0, 335.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.0
Season average 2.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 4.0, 1.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION16.5
Season average 16.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 7.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 19.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 26.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 14.0 |
Empirical distribution: 14.0, 26.0, 19.0, 7.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 4.0, 4.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Dak Prescott
DAL vs TB · 10/8/2026, 7:15:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receiving yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Hunter Henry
NE vs LV · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION33.3
Season average 33.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receiving yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 62.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 40.0 |
| 2026-09-09 | 26.0 |
Empirical distribution: 26.0, 40.0, 5.0, 62.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Receptions · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Hunter Henry
NE vs LV · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.0
Season average 3.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Receptions |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 5.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-09 | 3.0 |
Empirical distribution: 3.0, 3.0, 1.0, 5.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Hunter Henry
NE vs LV · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-09 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION303.5
Season average 303.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 412.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 269.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 327.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 206.0 |
Empirical distribution: 206.0, 327.0, 269.0, 412.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.3
Season average 2.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 4.0, 2.0, 1.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.8
Season average 3.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 6.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 7.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 7.0, 6.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION2.3
Season average 2.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 2.0 |
Empirical distribution: 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jared Goff
DET vs ARI · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY0.0%
Season average 0.0 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION204.5
Season average 204.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 166.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 280.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 95.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 277.0 |
Empirical distribution: 277.0, 95.0, 280.0, 166.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Passing touchdowns · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION1.5
Season average 1.5 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Passing touchdowns |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 |
Empirical distribution: 1.0, 1.0, 2.0, 2.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing yards · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION10.8
Season average 10.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing yards |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 18.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 7.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 14.0 |
Empirical distribution: 14.0, 7.0, 4.0, 18.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Rushing attempts · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
STATISTICAL PROJECTION3.8
Season average 3.8 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Rushing attempts |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 4.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 6.0 |
Empirical distribution: 6.0, 1.0, 4.0, 4.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
NFL · Anytime touchdown · MODEL PROJECTION ONLY
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DET · 10/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM CDT
EMPIRICAL TD FREQUENCY25.0%
Season average 0.3 · sample 4 games
Choose a threshold above to examine observed exceedance frequency.
Opponent statistic: unavailable; no invented adjustment.
Recent game logs & distribution
| Date | Anytime touchdown |
|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 |
Empirical distribution: 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0. Equal mass on recorded observations; not a fitted outcome distribution.
Recent mean shrunk toward season mean with two pseudo-games. Preliminary statistical estimate; availability, role and opponent adjustments unverified. SADP-player-empirical-1.0 · computed 10/8/2026, 1:50:08 PM CDT
Showing 60 results. Filter by player, team or date to narrow the list.
Passing yards · Passing touchdowns · Rushing yards · Rushing attempts · Receiving yards · Receptions · Anytime touchdown
Preliminary projections where recorded samples meet minimum requirements.