Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Kickoff 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM CDT · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Conference USA / Conference USA · Week 6
Article published 10/13/2026, 12:07:25 PM CDT · last material update 10/13/2026, 12:07:25 PM CDT
Missouri State
UnavailablePROJECTION
Western Kentucky
UnavailableModel projections are estimates. Forecast timestamp Not verified · feature-data cutoff Not verified. Imported original pregame forecast. No archived pregame statistical comparison exists; current-season totals were not substituted.
Official betting selection
Western Kentucky +1.5
- Locked line
- 1.5
- Odds / sportsbook
- -120 · DraftKings
- Model edge
- 9.8 points
- Estimated success
- 38.8%
- Confidence
- Model estimate; betting calibration not required by this policy
- Published
- 10/8/2026, 1:25:09 PM CDT
Policy model-edge-3.0 · model SE v3.0. Empirical betting probabilities are not independently validated calibration. Authoritative tracked betting record →
Team statistics & league rankings
Archived pregame comparison · ranks use covered teams within College Football · #1 is best for each metric.
| Metric | Missouri State | Western Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Points allowed / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Total yards / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Yards allowed / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Passing yards / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Rushing yards / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Yards / play | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Yards allowed / play | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Third-down conversion | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Third-down conversion allowed | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Turnovers / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Takeaways / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Offensive EPA / play | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| EPA allowed / play | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Offensive success rate | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Success rate allowed | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Red-zone scoring rate | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Turnover differential / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Defensive sacks / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Tackles for loss / game | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Passing EPA / pass play | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Rushing EPA / rush play | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Explosive-play rate | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Sacks suffered / pass play | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| QB hits / pass play | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| Adjusted strength of schedule | Unavailable | Unavailable |
Statistical advantages
Archived pregame team statistics were not captured for this imported game. Current postgame season averages are not substituted into its historical preview.
Key matchup factors
Saved sportsbook observations
Spread unavailable
Total unavailable
Observed Not verified. Saved market observations can differ from the original locked betting line.
Final model assessment
There is no verified production projection to assess yet. This permanent record will update through the existing daily publication pipeline when a stored forecast becomes available.
Verified final & model performance
Missouri State 13 — Western Kentucky 34
Source CollegeFootballData.com. The original forecast and official betting terms remain preserved.
- Winner prediction
- Unavailable
- Home margin · actual / model
- +21.0 / Unavailable
- Total · actual / model
- 47 / Unavailable
- Margin error
- Unavailable
- Total error
- Unavailable
- Official betting result
- win
Only the verified final score is available; no retrospective forecast has been invented.
Verified postgame Missouri State: 204.0 passing yards · 136.0 rushing yards · 1 turnovers. These are game-result observations and do not revise the pregame comparison.
Verified postgame Western Kentucky: 231.0 passing yards · 233.0 rushing yards · 0 turnovers. These are game-result observations and do not revise the pregame comparison.
Explore this matchup
Game previews · Spreadsheet entry · Tracked betting record · Conference USA previews
Related team matchups
Definitions, coverage & original timestamps
Game ID college-football:401871052. Article creation is not the original prediction timestamp. Original forecast Not verified; final stored pregame forecast Not verified. Rates use summed observed numerators and denominators; game averages use games with that statistic. Rankings use competition ties within the covered league population. NFL data uses regular-season games. EPA / play uses observed PBP EPA counts; success means positive EPA. Explosive plays use the source aggregation’s 20-yard passing / 10-yard rushing thresholds. CFB red-zone scoring includes field goals and touchdowns; a different NFL red-zone rate is not substituted. Quarterback hit rate is a hit proxy, not a complete pressure rate. Missing adjusted strength of schedule, pressure rates or archived inputs remain unavailable.