TRACKED BETTING RECORD 11 W — 10 L — 1 P52.4% · 42 pendingEvery published pick →
SOUTH ARKDAILY PICKSFIVE SPORTS · THROUGH THE NUMBERS

South Ark Daily Picks / South Alabama vs Arkansas State Original Prediction & Model Review | Oct 8, 2026

South Alabama vs Arkansas State Original Prediction & Model Review | Oct 8, 2026

South Alabama vs Arkansas State (Oct 8, 2026): verified schedule and forecast publication status. Statistical analysis will appear when a stored production forecast is available.

College Football · Historical model record · Awaiting model forecast

South Alabama at Arkansas State

Kickoff 10/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM CDT · Centennial Bank Stadium
Sun Belt / Sun Belt · Week 6

Article published 10/13/2026, 12:07:25 PM CDT · last material update 10/13/2026, 12:07:25 PM CDT

AWAY · Not available

South Alabama

Unavailable
MODEL
PROJECTION
HOME · Not available

Arkansas State

Unavailable
Projected winner UnavailableMargin UnavailableTotal UnavailableHome win UnavailableAway win Unavailable

Model projections are estimates. Forecast timestamp Not verified · feature-data cutoff Not verified. Imported original pregame forecast. No archived pregame statistical comparison exists; current-season totals were not substituted.

Official betting selection

SE v3.0 · selection status

No official selection recorded

No official selection is stored for this game. The displayed forecast is not itself a published wager.

Team statistics & league rankings

Archived pregame comparison · ranks use covered teams within College Football · #1 is best for each metric.

Comparable verified observations · missing data stays unavailable
MetricSouth AlabamaArkansas State
Points / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Points allowed / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Total yards / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Yards allowed / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Passing yards / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Rushing yards / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Yards / playUnavailableUnavailable
Yards allowed / playUnavailableUnavailable
Third-down conversionUnavailableUnavailable
Third-down conversion allowedUnavailableUnavailable
Turnovers / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Takeaways / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Offensive EPA / playUnavailableUnavailable
EPA allowed / playUnavailableUnavailable
Offensive success rateUnavailableUnavailable
Success rate allowedUnavailableUnavailable
Red-zone scoring rateUnavailableUnavailable
Turnover differential / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Defensive sacks / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Tackles for loss / gameUnavailableUnavailable
Passing EPA / pass playUnavailableUnavailable
Rushing EPA / rush playUnavailableUnavailable
Explosive-play rateUnavailableUnavailable
Sacks suffered / pass playUnavailableUnavailable
QB hits / pass playUnavailableUnavailable
Adjusted strength of scheduleUnavailableUnavailable

Statistical advantages

Archived pregame team statistics were not captured for this imported game. Current postgame season averages are not substituted into its historical preview.

Key matchup factors

Saved sportsbook observations

Spread unavailable
Total unavailable
Observed Not verified. Saved market observations can differ from the original locked betting line.

Final model assessment

There is no verified production projection to assess yet. This permanent record will update through the existing daily publication pipeline when a stored forecast becomes available.

Verified final & model performance

South Alabama 56 — Arkansas State 49

Source CollegeFootballData.com. The original forecast and official betting terms remain preserved.

Winner prediction
Unavailable
Home margin · actual / model
-7.0 / Unavailable
Total · actual / model
105 / Unavailable
Margin error
Unavailable
Total error
Unavailable
Official betting result
No selection recorded

Only the verified final score is available; no retrospective forecast has been invented.

Verified postgame South Alabama: 76.0 passing yards · 296.0 rushing yards · 1 turnovers. These are game-result observations and do not revise the pregame comparison.

Verified postgame Arkansas State: 418.0 passing yards · 98.0 rushing yards · 3 turnovers. These are game-result observations and do not revise the pregame comparison.

Explore this matchup

Game previews · Spreadsheet entry · Tracked betting record · Sun Belt previews

Related team matchups

Definitions, coverage & original timestamps

Game ID college-football:401869933. Article creation is not the original prediction timestamp. Original forecast Not verified; final stored pregame forecast Not verified. Rates use summed observed numerators and denominators; game averages use games with that statistic. Rankings use competition ties within the covered league population. NFL data uses regular-season games. EPA / play uses observed PBP EPA counts; success means positive EPA. Explosive plays use the source aggregation’s 20-yard passing / 10-yard rushing thresholds. CFB red-zone scoring includes field goals and touchdowns; a different NFL red-zone rate is not substituted. Quarterback hit rate is a hit proxy, not a complete pressure rate. Missing adjusted strength of schedule, pressure rates or archived inputs remain unavailable.