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South Ark Daily Picks / Wisconsin at UCLA

Wisconsin at UCLA

Model projection, matchup context, market snapshot and limitations.

WEEK 7 · 10/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM CT

Wisconsin at UCLA

Rose Bowl

SE v3.0 PROJECTION21.3 — 34.6

Separate CFBD line snapshot: UCLA spread -3 · total 49.5
Line snapshot 10/7/2026, 7:25:27 PM CT

Sportsbook prices unavailable for this matchup

No matched cached offer is available. The numbers above are model estimates. Browse available odds →

Current model picks and edge qualifications →

2026-10-11 · CENTRAL TIME · model-edge-3.0

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No Qualifying Pick Today

CFB and NFL: spread edge ≥3 points or total edge ≥4 points. NHL: puck-line/total edge ≥0.5 goals; moneyline probability ≥52%, ≥2 percentage points above break-even and positive raw EV. Calibration is tracked, not required for these picks.

0 games on today’s research board

No verified games on today’s imported slate. Limited coverage does not establish that no games are scheduled.

Model / market research comparisons

Unvalidated residual estimates are descriptive research, not published bets. Expected value below is arithmetic per unit staked, not a validated profit forecast; pushes return the stake.

Game / selectionSportsbookLine / priceResearch probabilityBreak-evenRaw EVPublication status
No consistent model distribution and verified paired prices on today’s slate.

Report computed 10/11/2026, 3:21:39 PM CDT. All comparisons derive from the same cached forecast and line snapshot. Data freshness → · Methodology →

Projected outcome — research only

Tie is the projected outcome. Spread -13.3; total 55.9. Home win estimate 53.4%.

Uncertainty interval unavailable: insufficient validation.

Market discussion

Separate CFBD snapshot: home-side gap — points; total gap —. These descriptive gaps do not price the SportsGameOdds offers above. Current qualifying selections appear above and in the locked pending record.

Conditions and counterarguments

Weather unavailable or outside forecast horizon. Injuries: no current verified availability report. Travel distance: unavailable. Missing contextual data and a short statistical sample could change this projection.

Statistical comparisons & assumptions
Recent metricValueGames supplied
points for31.65
points against16.65
off yards per play6.35
off yards per pass7.95
off yards per rush4.75
off third down rate0.45
off redzone scoring rate—0
off turnovers1.25
offensive plays61.05
def yards per play allowed4.25
def third down rate allowed0.35
def redzone scoring rate allowed—0
def takeaways0.85
Recent metricValueGames supplied
points for39.25
points against18.05
off yards per play6.95
off yards per pass8.25
off yards per rush6.25
off third down rate0.45
off redzone scoring rate—0
off turnovers1.45
offensive plays66.65
def yards per play allowed4.75
def third down rate allowed0.25
def redzone scoring rate allowed—0
def takeaways3.85

Data provided by CFBD · retrieved 10/8/2026, 8:16:05 PM CT.

Sportsbook game lines

Cached SportsGameOdds snapshots, independent of model projections. Coverage is limited to a budgeted selection. Prices may have changed; these are not live offers or recommendations. Odds board & object budget →

No cached game prices in this selection. No odds are invented. Source access, bookmaker coverage or the free budget may limit availability.